Dan, yes the possibility is high that the US will decline in the next thirty to fifty years
.
The whole progress in high tech and technology is mostly driven by the market force.
If you have bigger market, and I want to export my product into your market, then I have to follow your specification , or standard , otherwise I can not sell my products in your market. Now, as the US market is no longer to be the world largest one in the next thirty to fifty years, we expect producers of other countries will no longer follow the US standard anymore. On the countrary, the US companies will need to follow other's country's standard in the future so that the US company can export their products into that country which is the world largest market in the years to come. If you look at the OS, you will see. Japan can easily develop its own OS based on its own standard, the problem there won't be any market for that OS. However, if
this standard of OS is endorsed by a country which hold the world largest market, then
this new OS will fly. As the US market is less and less important in the world market,
that is the reason I predict the US will decline in the next 30 to 50 years. This is a reasonable prediction. Now, what is worse is the DOJ would like to hold the hands of US companies, and we may see that process being accelerated. |
