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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna

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To: Moominoid who wrote (31865)10/18/1998 8:21:00 AM
From: bearshark  Read Replies (1) of 94695
 
David: Thanks for the information on dividends. What you say makes a good deal of sense. I no longer can remember the U. S. tax rules on dividends back into the 70s. However, I think they were taxed at the same rate as ordinary income back then. I think we had lower rates for capital gains. That is the same today.

I think we need to put the markets and their effects on investors in the picture. After the bear market of the early 70s and then the mid-70s, many thought it was impossible to make money in the stock market. Because of that, I think investors were paying more attention to dividends because it appeared to be more of a sure thing.

Over the last several years, we have had up, up, and more up. Now, I think everyone believes that capital gains are to be expected and dividends are nice, but petty.

If we have a series of real bear markets in this country, I think we could change the investor psychology back to the way it was in the 70s. If that happens, then we could end up with more interest again in dividends.
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