StochRSI(8,5) looked overbought for quite a few stocks last night, so I expected a pullback soon -- but maybe not so soon as this afternoon. DELL is a case in point. Its dramatic drop was fueled by a rumor -- one that may have turned out to be false -- but a shorter-term pullback could have been foreseen by looking at StochRSI. The rumor may just have been noise, and the pullback technical -- and inevitable.
Some longer-term indicators, though, seem to show that the trend up has just begun in earnest in some cases. Even CCI(13) for some high-techs had just climbed back over 0 (CSCO and DELL, for example). CCI was nowhere near overbought levels. In fact, it was just emerging from oversold levels. And Parabolic SAR was just starting to give lots of buy signals over the past few days.
I tend to get a feeling for the market while looking at the charts of individual stocks. I rely on analysts such as Claud for the wider view. That's one reason I miss him so much here. I didn't have much to say on the thread, but I was always here lurking, reading his analysis. All I can contribute is my own myopic view of a few stocks. I deeply regret Claud's departure, and the slew of obnoxious, badgering notes that led to it.
Anyway, earnings reports have generally been favorable, and lots of stocks (especially banking stocks such as JPM and BAC) are breaking through resistance, so maybe the rally isn't over yet.
Here's a list of some higher-volume stocks that broke through resistance today:
AZPN , 10.688, TODAY: 10/20/1998, Resistance: 10.500, Resistance since: 10/16/1998, ASPEN TECHNOLOGY INC COM, Computers-Software, COMPSOFT BAC , 56.062, TODAY: 10/20/1998, Resistance: 56.000, Resistance since: 10/16/1998, BANKAMERICA CORP NEW COM, Banking-Money Center, BANKMONC BCHE , 22.312, TODAY: 10/20/1998, Resistance: 21.750, Resistance since: 10/02/1998, BIOCHEM PHARMA INC COM, Health-Biomed/Genetics, MEDBIOGN CBE , 44.438, TODAY: 10/20/1998, Resistance: 44.375, Resistance since: 10/05/1998, COOPER INDS INC COM, Machines-Gen Industrial, MACHGNRL CCE , 32.812, TODAY: 10/20/1998, Resistance: 31.938, Resistance since: 10/16/1998, COCA COLA ENTERPRISES INC COM, Beverages-NonAlcoholic, BEVSOFT CSE , 23.875, TODAY: 10/20/1998, Resistance: 21.188, Resistance since: 10/16/1998, CASE CORP COM, Machines-Farm, MACHFARM CYM , 13.812, TODAY: 10/20/1998, Resistance: 13.500, Resistance since: 10/02/1998, CYPRUS AMAX MINERALS CO COM, Metal-Ores Misc, METORES DCN , 39.500, TODAY: 10/20/1998, Resistance: 38.625, Resistance since: 10/05/1998, DANA CORP COM, Transpt-Heavy Trucks/Prts, TRUCKPRT DLJ , 32.250, TODAY: 10/20/1998, Resistance: 31.750, Resistance since: 09/29/1998, DONALDSONLUFKIN&JENRETTE NEW COM, Financl-Investment Bkrs, FINIBKRS ECILF , 27.562, TODAY: 10/20/1998, Resistance: 27.250, Resistance since: 10/02/1998, ECI TELECOM LTD COM, Telecomm-Equip, TELEQUIP ETN , 69.938, TODAY: 10/20/1998, Resistance: 69.875, Resistance since: 10/19/1998, EATON CORP COM, Transpt-Heavy Trucks/Prts, TRUCKPRT FEET , 16.438, TODAY: 10/20/1998, Resistance: 14.000, Resistance since: 10/12/1998, JUST FOR FEET INC COM, Retail-Apparel/Shoe, RTLAPPRL FGCI , 19.812, TODAY: 10/20/1998, Resistance: 19.375, Resistance since: 10/01/1998, FAMILY GOLF CTRS INC COM, Leisure-Services, LEISVCS GILD , 28.625, TODAY: 10/20/1998, Resistance: 28.250, Resistance since: 09/30/1998, GILEAD SCIENCES INC COM, Health-Biomed/Genetics, MEDBIOGN GR , 34.812, TODAY: 10/20/1998, Resistance: 34.438, Resistance since: 10/02/1998, GOODRICH B F CO COM, Aerospace-Defense Eqp, AEROEQUP GWW , 43.438, TODAY: 10/20/1998, Resistance: 42.875, Resistance since: 10/13/1998, GRAINGER W W INC COM, Electrical-Equipment, ELECEQIP HAIN , 17.500, TODAY: 10/20/1998, Resistance: 16.750, Resistance since: 09/30/1998, HAIN FOOD GROUP INC COM, Food-Misc, FOODMISC HMT , 15.062, TODAY: 10/20/1998, Resistance: 14.500, Resistance since: 09/30/1998, HOST MARRIOTT CORP COM, Leisure-Hotels Motels, LEISHOTL IIN , 34.875, TODAY: 10/20/1998, Resistance: 34.812, Resistance since: 10/05/1998, ITT INDS INC IND COM, Diversified Operations, DIVEROPS JPM , 95.375, TODAY: 10/20/1998, Resistance: 94.312, Resistance since: 09/29/1998, MORGAN J P & CO INC COM, Banking-Money Center, BANKMONC LOR , 14.438, TODAY: 10/20/1998, Resistance: 14.250, Resistance since: 10/16/1998, LORAL SPACE & COMMUNICATIONS COM, Telecomm-Equip, TELEQUIP LPX , 21.875, TODAY: 10/20/1998, Resistance: 21.625, Resistance since: 10/05/1998, LOUISIANA PAC CORP COM, Bldg-Wood Prod, BLDWOOD LTR , 91.750, TODAY: 10/20/1998, Resistance: 88.938, Resistance since: 10/12/1998, LOEWS CORP COM, Diversified Operations, DIVEROPS MAS , 28.125, TODAY: 10/20/1998, Resistance: 27.188, Resistance since: 10/02/1998, MASCO CORP COM, Bldg-Misc Constr Prod, BLDCONST MEL , 61.000, TODAY: 10/20/1998, Resistance: 60.812, Resistance since: 09/29/1998, MELLON BK CORP COM, Banking-Super Regional, BANKSUPR MXF , 11.062, TODAY: 10/20/1998, Resistance: 11.000, Resistance since: 09/29/1998, MEXICO FD INC COM, Financl-Pub Fd-Frgn, FINFRGN N , 11.688, TODAY: 10/20/1998, Resistance: 11.188, Resistance since: 10/16/1998, INCO LTD COM, Metal-Ores Misc, METORES NOB , 37.875, TODAY: 10/20/1998, Resistance: 37.312, Resistance since: 10/05/1998, NORWEST CORP COM, Banking-Super Regional, BANKSUPR ODP , 23.250, TODAY: 10/20/1998, Resistance: 22.750, Resistance since: 10/06/1998, OFFICE DEPOT INC COM, Retail/Whlsle-Office Supl, RTLWOFF ONE , 49.625, TODAY: 10/20/1998, Resistance: 48.062, Resistance since: 09/29/1998, BANK ONE CORP COM, Banking-Super Regional, BANKSUPR ORB , 30.750, TODAY: 10/20/1998, Resistance: 30.438, Resistance since: 10/02/1998, ORBITAL SCIENCES CORP COM, N/A, N/A ORI , 23.688, TODAY: 10/20/1998, Resistance: 23.500, Resistance since: 10/02/1998, OLD REP INTL CORP COM, Insurance-Multi Line, INSMULTI PGO , 17.500, TODAY: 10/20/1998, Resistance: 17.000, Resistance since: 10/12/1998, PETROLEUM GEO-SVCS A/S ADR SPONSORED, Oil/Gas-Field Services, OGFLDSV RGBK , 36.625, TODAY: 10/20/1998, Resistance: 36.562, Resistance since: 10/05/1998, REGIONS FINL CORP COM, Banking-Southeast, BANKSE RNB , 45.312, TODAY: 10/20/1998, Resistance: 44.688, Resistance since: 09/29/1998, REPUBLIC N Y CORP COM, Banking-Northeast, BANKNE RNWK , 37.875, TODAY: 10/20/1998, Resistance: 37.500, Resistance since: 10/16/1998, REALNETWORKS INC COM, Computers-Software, COMPSOFT SBL , 47.250, TODAY: 10/20/1998, Resistance: 47.000, Resistance since: 10/16/1998, SYMBOL TECHNOLOGIES INC COM, Computers-Optical Recogtn, COMPOCR SCI , 32.562, TODAY: 10/20/1998, Resistance: 30.000, Resistance since: 09/29/1998, SCI SYS INC COM, Elec-Misc Parts, ELECMISC SYB , 21.500, TODAY: 10/20/1998, Resistance: 20.938, Resistance since: 10/05/1998, SYBRON INTL COM, Health-Dent/Med Supplies, MEDENSUP TEO , 32.375, TODAY: 10/20/1998, Resistance: 31.438, Resistance since: 10/02/1998, TELECOM ARGENTINA SA ADR SPONSORED B, Utility-Telephone, UTILTELE TLDCF , 14.688, TODAY: 10/20/1998, Resistance: 14.438, Resistance since: 10/13/1998, TELEDATA COMMUNICATION LTD ORD, Telecomm-Equip, TELEQUIP TMO , 16.875, TODAY: 10/20/1998, Resistance: 16.500, Resistance since: 10/13/1998, THERMO ELECTRON CORP COM, Elec-Instruments Scientific, INSTRSCI TOS , 24.438, TODAY: 10/20/1998, Resistance: 22.750, Resistance since: 09/30/1998, TOSCO CORP COM NEW, Oil/Gas-Refining/Mktg, OGREFIN UNM , 52.625, TODAY: 10/20/1998, Resistance: 52.562, Resistance since: 10/05/1998, UNUM CORP COM, Insurance-Acc/Health, INSACCID USB , 42.375, TODAY: 10/20/1998, Resistance: 42.125, Resistance since: 09/30/1998, U S BANCORP DEL COM, Banking-Midwest, BANKMWES UST , 31.625, TODAY: 10/20/1998, Resistance: 31.375, Resistance since: 10/13/1998, UST INC COM, Tobacco, TOBACCO VO , 33.188, TODAY: 10/20/1998, Resistance: 33.125, Resistance since: 09/30/1998, SEAGRAM LTD COM, Beverages-Alcoholic, BEVALCOH WFC , 378.563, TODAY: 10/20/1998, Resistance: 367.688, Resistance since: 10/05/1998, WELLS FARGO & CO COM, Banking-Super Regional, BANKSUPR WLL , 31.812, TODAY: 10/20/1998, Resistance: 31.125, Resistance since: 10/02/1998, WILLAMETTE INDS INC COM, Bldg-Wood Prod, BLDWOOD XON , 76.562, TODAY: 10/20/1998, Resistance: 75.875, Resistance since: 10/13/1998, EXXON CORP COM, Oil/Gas-Intl Integrated, OGIINTG XRAY , 21.875, TODAY: 10/20/1998, Resistance: 21.750, Resistance since: 10/19/1998, DENTSPLY INTL INC NEW COM, Health-Dent/Med Supplies, MEDENSUP XYLN , 14.688, TODAY: 10/20/1998, Resistance: 14.250, Resistance since: 10/02/1998, XYLAN CORP COM, Computers-Local Networks, COMPLAN |