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Strategies & Market Trends : Shorting stocks: Broken stocks - Analysis

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To: Q. who wrote (1939)10/21/1998 6:14:00 PM
From: John Dally  Read Replies (1) of 2506
 
Hi John,

Thanks for your numerous fine contributions to SI.

Since more money is being put into mutual funds whose fiscal year ends October 31st, much of the tax-loss selling now occurs at the end of October. The data shown in the graph supports that view.

Therefore, the strategy I would devise using the data from the graph, would be to close the affected shorts at the end of October and go long the "good" depressed cos at the same time (i.e. also end of October). November looks like a good month to be long these cos and I would ride them through mid-February.

I think that "institutional ownership" would be a relevant screening criteria for the end of October picks.

Best regards, John.
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