Boeing Beats 3rd-Quarter Forecasts, Although Jet Orders Are Threatened
By LAURENCE ZUCKERMAN -- October 23, 1998
The Boeing Co. reported third-quarter earnings Thursday that were higher than expected, but it warned that the recession in Asia would cause it to lose more airplane orders than it had previously estimated.
Boeing, the aerospace giant based in Seattle, became profitable during the quarter after facing production problems and other difficulties last year that forced it to take a $1 billion charge. But with the economic downturn in Asia threatening to spread to Europe and the United States, it appears that Boeing's internal troubles caused it to miss out on one of the biggest airplane booms in history. By the time next year when the company's airplane division is expected to be fully recovered, demand for new jets is expected to be declining.
For the quarter, the company earned $347 million, or 36 cents a share, on $12.7 billion in revenue. The per-share figure was well above the average estimate of 27 cents forecast by Wall Street analysts surveyed by the First Call Corp. In the period a year earlier, Boeing reported a loss of $696 million, or 72 cents a share, on revenue of $11.4 billion.
"There were puts and takes that got you to the slightly better number than expected," said Howard Rubel, an analyst at Goldman, Sachs & Co. in New York. "Most of it was driven by other income and tax benefits."
Boeing executives said the company was re-examining its market forecasts in light of Asia's economic turmoil. Airlines serving Asia are responsible for a large part of the sales of Boeing's 747 jumbojet, its most lucrative civilian airplane. But many airlines have reduced their flights in the region over the last year or are switching to smaller planes.
Boeing recently increased production of the 747 and the newer 777 widebody to five and seven a month but was planning to reduce production in the middle of next year. Now, it is considering cutting the production rates even further. The company says it is holding 34 completed planes in storage while its customers try to come up with the money to pay for them or Boeing tries to line up alternate buyers.
Meanwhile, the company is still struggling to meet its production schedules. To meet its target of delivering 550 commercial airplanes this year, it must produce 182 during the fourth quarter, more than ever before.
Alan Mulally, who was named head of Boeing's commercial airplane division last month after the ouster of his predecessor, Ronald Woodard, said Thursday that Boeing was delaying previously announced plans to begin production of 737 narrow-body jets in Long Beach, Calif., so the company could focus on meeting its delivery schedule.
Boeing was dealt a new setback recently when it learned that one of its suppliers had shipped it thousands of defective electrical connectors. Mulally said that no planes containing the faulty parts had been delivered to customers and that enough functioning parts were available to allow production to continue. But workers must spend hours inspecting recently completed planes to find out which ones were affected and then fix them.
Despite all its travails and weakening demand for its commercial airplanes, some analysts think Boeing, which has seen its stock fall 35 percent since April, has turned the corner. Nicholas Heymann, the aerospace analyst at Prudential Securities who was one of the first on Wall Street to turn bearish on Boeing last year, upgraded his advisory on the stock Thursday to "accumulate" from "hold."
He said that Boeing executives were beginning to cut costs and that the company would start generating a large amount of cash next year. Indeed, Boeing announced a stock repurchase plan in August and said Thursday that it spent $364 million to buy 10.6 million of its own shares in September.
"At this point, we believe people will have to revise upward their estimates after having revised them down for six quarters," Heymann said.
Boeing shares closed Thursday at $36.4375, up 43.75 cents, on the New York Stock Exchange.
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