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Biotech / Medical : Arterial Vascular Engineering AVEI

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To: Scott Overholser who wrote (375)10/25/1998 12:51:00 AM
From: mmeggs  Read Replies (2) of 410
 
This is a company that has CRUSHED expectations for the last three quarters. Each quarter analysts bump their estimates but issue a warning that "competitive pressures" may become evidenced. Yet for the last year, they're have not. But because this "warning" is out there, it is never able to sustain any momentum.

This quarter was highlighted by the fears of:

The Bard aquisition may not go smoothly.
They may lose mroe market share when BSX introduces the Nir stent - AGAIN. (Had to be pulled becuase it popped the ballons!)
Guidant may get approval for the Duet II in the next quarter.
Old fears like decreasing margins, prices coming down due to competition, one trick pony, etc.

Clinical data has shown the gfx to be the best stent out there, with the possible exception of the yet-to-be-introduced Duet II. Of course the gfx II comes out 1Q '99, and it should do at least as well, if history is any indication.

I don't know. Frustrating. You could pose quesitons like this about any company. But to say that they didn't exceed expectations by as high a percentage as two previous quarters, and that is why they are down, is patently absurd.
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