Arnold, I think it might be Ben Wattenberg's book you are referring to. Whereas it is true that in the industrial west, fertility is diminishing, immigration will offset this. The population of the world still is increasing by 80 million or so a year. In this matter, as in economics, how it is distributed, is still the big problem. Wattenberg thinks like Kudlow and I remain unconvinced by their analysis. They, I think, are free traders, and trade grows best by having a larger number of consumers. The idea here is the notion that somehow we will move into a new plane and all is well. Paul Ehrlich's problem with this is that the world will start looking like a giant 'Feed Lot'.
So that I have something about Asia in this post, I think the fact is that China has been able to control the population in the cities, but not in the agricultural lands.
Regards, Seppo |