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Strategies & Market Trends : Tech Stock Options

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To: TradeOfTheDay who wrote (56465)10/27/1998 2:41:00 PM
From: ViperChick Secret Agent 006.9  Read Replies (2) of 58727
 
To: +dennis michael patterson (9080 )
From: +P&F-Madness
Tuesday, Oct 27 1998 10:00AM ET
Reply # of 9113

Hi Dennis.

I see Wizzie answered your question to Nordby's analysis on Dell.

...Point & Figure: Reversed to the downside on Oct 20, 1998. A P&F upside
reversal takes place at $58 1/2. Summary: Technical indicators have turned
bearish. SELL! DELL COMPUTER CORP (DELL-Nasdaq) @ $52 1/2 Stop. Use a
protective stop of $55 1/2.

I had a good exchange with Lisa on the subject of Dell when the RS first reversed into
O's. She was asking if the reversal in the RS was a commanding sell signal and if one
should immediately exit Dell. The analysis isn't that easy.

When the market is in such good position as it is now you can take a little more risk in
your charts provided FA etc is still there. Dell reversed negative on the RS indicating it
would start to under perform the market. For example. Under performing in a market
going up 20% and the stock only moving up 10% is much better than a market going
down 20% and the stock under performing the market by moving down 30%. Does
that make sense?

With Dell not giving any hint of a sell signal on its trend chart I recommended a hold at
that time unless it broke down on its chart and then hedge. I didn't recommend a sell.
If the market were in Bear Alert instead of Bull Confirmed and moving south like last
May, my opinion and analysis would have been different, but it isn't.

Currently Dell has given a buy signal and the RS is improving nicely. If Dell keeps this
up the RS is sure to flip positive again. Short lived this one I think (reversal down that
is).

I think (this is just my opinion) Nordby took the RS turning negative as an absolute
without taking into consideration market, sector and trend position.

Dell can be bought on pullbacks. I think Wizzie set the parameters.

I hope that helped Dennis.

Take care,

Jan I am

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+wizzards wine (9098 )
From: +P&F-Madness
Tuesday, Oct 27 1998 10:17AM ET
Reply # of 9113

Tom Dorsey on the net..

Maybe, I don't know. I can't verify since I'm still Macin' it over here. But and email from
the Canadian show as thus...

The interviews are posted now!
You will have to use the Microsoft media player to view the interviews.

cybertv.to
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