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Technology Stocks : Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)
AMZN 233.22+1.8%Nov 28 9:30 AM EST
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To: Sean G. who wrote (23300)10/27/1998 11:41:00 PM
From: SilverAG  Read Replies (1) of 164684
 
Here's my rough estimate for AMZN earnings:

3Q98 (est.)
----------------
Revenues 150.0
Cost of Sales (117.0)*
Other Expenses (60.0)**

Interest Expense (7.6)

Net income (34.6)

EPS (0.70)***

* assume 22% margin
** Other Expenses estimated by adding previous quarter's operating expense (43.2) +
Junglees acquisition charge (15.0)
*** assume 49.5 million shares outstanding

Assumptions: Revenues $150, Gross margin 22%
Interest Expense: Same as last quarter
Operating Expense: Same as last quarter

I have used very optimistic assumptions in this analysis-
I assume a high revenue growth, and low operating & interest expenses.

If you do not include the Junglee charge in Other Expenses that would
add $15 to the bottom line and you get an EPS of (0.40) which is
close to whisper numbers. Add the 15 million acquisition charge and
you get (0.70).

Am I missing something here????

I don't believe that analysts have included the amortization charge
in their earnings estimates!!
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