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Strategies & Market Trends : Technical Analysis - Beginners
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To: David R. Evans who wrote (1801)1/6/1997 9:18:00 PM
From: David Russell Coburn II   of 12039
 
Dave,

Thanks for the quick reply to my EMail. I've been to your page several times now and think its' great. Can't wait till you get all 1804 posts from this board up there. When will you sleep. Just kidding. You guys are truely the most selfless(sp) group of individuals I've met on the Net. Alot of the other threads are nothing short of hostile and manipulative. Not to mention some of the advice thats being thrown around. Thanks again.

Now, the questions.

1. I've been putting in EPS and RS's above 85 in my data base and after doing a few scans I see some of them would have been buys about 1, 2, and 3 days ago ie:BOOM. What about getting in now? To little to late? To much downside risk? Wait till the fallback and get in on the next crossing?

2. Using the Parabolic SAR is a little confusing to me. What is it telling me? What effect do the .02 and .2 accelleration factors have on the function?

3. Do I absolutely need to wait to see the cross over between 5 and 13. I have several where 5 was below and has made a sharp upward turn and is touching 13. Also, please discuss the function of the 40MA again. Some of the plots have 40 flat others have 40 still on the downward trend, but I would expect this since it is a much longer term. Also is it important for the 40 to be above or below the other two MA's.

4. I have done some work with speech recognition and used a signal processing technique called linear prediction. It basically uses historical data to predict the next data point. In my case the data would be frequency components in a persons speech but the similarity of these functions with those of oscillatory price data is remarkable. Have you heard of this or anything like it being used or adapted for stock selection. It is a pattern recognition problem but it is linear unlike a Neural Net predictor.

Again, I want to contribute in any small way I can because you guys have already helped me immensely(sp).

thx:

DRC
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