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Pastimes : Ask Mohan about the Market

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To: Zeev Hed who wrote (16914)11/1/1998 12:45:00 PM
From: Enigma  Read Replies (3) of 18056
 
ZEEV - the owners of LTCM took a haircut as you put it - well and good - but the lenders to LTCM were the ones bailed out (unless I've got it wrong) The point I'm making is that there seems to be developing a new paradym - if you lend enough to a developing country, or a hedge fund, you will be rescued (FED and IMF respectively). Reward without risk? Not that the Fed can go on being a bail out agent for brokers/banks indefinitely..

I don't think you have taken into effect that it is not the .25 % cut which has achieved this new euphoria -but, rather, the fact that what is implied is a series of cuts to come.

What happens, then, if these cuts don't happen?

I read elsewhere that the Fed may ease way more - to 2% or by 2% - I can't remember - because of the $billions required by corporations to fix the YK2 problem (Ford alone $350million). Maybe the market in its infinite wisdom sees something positive in this.

Have you seen those charts superimposing 98 on 29? We are now at the comparative recovery top - next little while will burst or confirm this one. E

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