G-7 To Seek Support For Econ Reform Plan At APEC Meet
By JOSEPH REBELLO Dow Jones Newswires
WASHINGTON -- The Group of Seven leading industrial nations, having agreed on what analysts say is an unusually detailed prescription for preventing a recurrence of the global economic crisis, is set to begin lobbying developing countries to adopt the prescription.
The lobbying campaign will begin later this week, in meetings in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, of economic officials from the 18 industrial and developing countries that comprise the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) forum, according to officials familiar with the G-7 effort. Those meetings begin Nov. 7 and last through Nov. 18.
The G-7 prescription, announced in a communique Friday, involves the creation of a new International Monetary Fund credit line that will make make loans to healthy economies threatened by financial contagion. It also involves a new World Bank emergency credit facility, a vow to pay closer attention to the activities of hedge funds, and an agreement to study how exchange-rate systems in emerging-market countries can be made stable.
G-7 experts said the prescription is so sweeping in its scope that its effectiveness will depend on the degree to which emerging-market economies embrace it. They said the group decided it was time to act after months of head-scratching that had made international monetary authorities seem impotent in the face of a deepening global economic crisis. "The name of the game at this point is more heavily implementation as opposed to thinking through the problems," one G-7 official said.
Analysts said the implementation of the new IMF credit line is likely to be a key topic in G-7 discussions with developing countries, particularly since Brazil is widely expected to become its first user in the next few weeks. The G-7 plan will allow countries facing sudden capital flight to obtain short-term loans from the IMF, provided they're already pursuing "strong IMF-approved policies." They would have to pay a "surcharge" involving at least 3 percentage points above market interest rates for those loans.
"The questions are: 1) What criteria will be established for drawing from the credit line?; 2) Who will set the criteria?; and 3) Who makes the call that a country is no longer eligible for the loans?" said Robert Hormats, vice chairman of Goldman Sachs & Co. in New York. "These are complicated issues that will have to be worked out. Is the G-7 going to work it out among themselves, or are they also going to get other countries on board?" |