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Politics : Clinton's Scandals: Is this corruption the worst ever?
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To: Zoltan! who wrote (8745)11/2/1998 2:01:00 PM
From: Doughboy  Read Replies (10) of 13994
 
Zoltan,

If you want any indication of how Bill is doing, look no further than SI itself. On October 1, the Bill Clinton Scandal thread had a 1000 message lead (7500-6500) on the Bill Clinton Sanity Check thread. Today, Sanity Check has swamped Scandal by 4000 messages (12500-8500).

Momentum is clearly in Democrats favor. This reminds me exactly of the 1994 mid-term elections. Big Democrat leads were getting halved in the closing days of those races but the Dems still showed daylight between them and their challengers. By election day the momentum carried through and Republicans had a rout. Same here. Democratic momentum is accelerating so fast that polling is not keeping up, and we're not going to know what happened over this past weekend until Tuesday. Schumer, for example, has gone from 10 down to dead even. And he has successfully blunted D'Amato's most successful attacks. I was watching some interesting commentary by Charles Cook, the congressional race analyst, who said that he had to give the edge to Schumer because unlike other races where polling typically undercounts the conservative vote, D'Amato's numbers usually undercount the anti-D'Amato vote. He pointed out the example of Robert Abrams who was a lackluster opponent at best. Al had a big comfortable lead over Abrams in the final days and yet he won by a few thousand votes. Schumer has been an excellent candidate (being a publicity hound has its advantages) and the trend is his friend. Schumer by a comfortable margin come Tuesday.

Doughboy.
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