Brian,
thanks for Your input. Should mean this..
Assumptions: $110 million SGAA, $165 millon R&D ($20 million more)
Scenario 1: ASP $100, units = 4,7 million, EPS = 0,05 ... P(x) = 10% Scenario 2: ASP $120, units = 4,7 million, EPS = 0,30 ... P(x) = 20% Scenario 3: ASP $100, units = 5,5 million, EPS = 0,30 ... P(x) = 10%
Scenario 4: ASP $120, units = 5,5 million, EPS = 0,50 ... P(x) = 20% Scenario 5: ASP $100, units = 6,5 million, EPS = 0,50 ... P(x) = 10% Scenario 6: ASP $120, units = 6,5 million, EPS = 0,80 .. P(x) = 20% Scenario 7: ASP $100, units = 7 million, EPS = 0,65 .. P(x) = 5%
Scenario 8: ASP $120, units = 7 million, EPS = 1,00 .. P(x) = 5%
This means
the expected value E(X) of EPS for AMD is 0,48. Not a bad number in my opinion. I think that AMD has a good potential to beat analyst' estimates this quarter..
best regards
CROSSY |
