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Strategies & Market Trends : Shorting stocks: Broken stocks - Analysis

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To: Q. who wrote (1854)11/4/1998 9:33:00 AM
From: Q.  Read Replies (1) of 2506
 
Here are the stocks for the Nov 98 low RS / neg cash flow screen.
I did this screen on Nov. 3.

The top 25 stocks were as follows, listed with the lowest 18-week RS first:

RMOC,CVOL,ALYD,EXCA,DSTM,OZEMY,PURW,TAVA,ANLT,ORPH,CMLS,AIM,ZILA,MARG,
DRXR,CLYS,HHHH,NTBK,INIS,MCAR,SATC,CELG,TMBS,GNET,APHT

click the link below to see yahoo's detailed report on all 25 stocks:

quote.yahoo.com

=====================================Boiler plate info: ============

How the scan was done:I used Telescan's Prosearch, available on the
web (for a subscription) at tscn.com

Search components were:

shortability:
price > $5
30 day ave vol > 5 k
small cap:
$20 M < market cap < $200 M
low RS:
rel performance 18 weeks : low as possible
eliminate value stocks:
p/b > 3
p/s > 2
free cash flow < 0
cash/price ratio : low as possible

I optimized the above parameters in May and June 1998, which was soon
after a small cap market peak, by backtesting the results (I played
with the p/s, p/b ratios, the time span for the low RS, etc.) and this
is the set of parameters that did the best over the previous 3-6
months. The returns from this screen are probably best over a 3+
month holding period.
I don't recommend shorting any of the stocks produced by this screen.
This list is intended only to encourage further research.
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