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Strategies & Market Trends : Roger's 1998 Short Picks

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To: put2rich who wrote (15007)11/4/1998 3:42:00 PM
From: Joey Two-Cents  Read Replies (2) of 18691
 
<Which are the best long term and 'safe' shorts?>

Thanh,

My favorite short is WMT. At $ 70 it's only 3% off its all time high of $ 72 set back in July. The stock has doubled in the last year and it's trading with a PE in the high 30's. It's growth rate is around 12% with future growth expansion hinging on Asian and SA expansion.

With the Asian and SA markets in dire straits, I don't see much growth
coming from those parts of the world. Also, with a savings rate of
-.2% once the US sheeple get whacked by that 2 x 4 reality board they're going to start cutting back on their spending. I can see WMT trading at $ 30 by the end of next year.
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