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Pastimes : The Justa & Lars Honors Bob Brinker Investment Club
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To: marc ultra who wrote (2033)11/7/1998 9:57:00 PM
From: Justa Werkenstiff  Read Replies (1) of 15132
 
Marc: Tough question and tough move. Both TER and ASYT have fundamental underpinnings to their recent turns. Both are largely owned by institutions. I would consider TER less volatile because it is a large NYSE stock while ASYT is a small cap NASDAQ subject to some market maker manipulation. I think there is better upside in ASYT for the cycle along with more volatility. If it were me, I would go with ASYT realizing full well that I could show nice paper loss next week after my purchase. I also note that you already have significant big cap exposure in this sector with no small cap representation. Please note that I am biased as ASYT currently is my largest holding in this sector and TER comes in fifth.

As an aside, there is little downside risk in UTEK IMO. I believe UTEK is waiting for the sector to catch up to its valuation level at which point it should move a bit better. I also believe there will be more tax loss selling with UTEK than most of the small caps in that sector because of the ownership profile.

Also, be advised that the sector outside of UTEK is overbought IMO. You could well be served by waiting for a pull-back before making a lateral from UTEK to ASYT or TER. UTEK should not fall as much percentage wise in a pull-back.

Let me know what you finally do.
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