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Technology Stocks : Dell Technologies Inc.

DELL 115.30

-1.6%

12:12 PM EST

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To: Craig Lieberman who wrote (76993)	11/9/1998 12:30:00 AM
From: Doug Hubert	Read Replies (3) of 176387

>>"A 20 or 25 percent (market share) is probably about as much as we can have as a company in the next five years, without going to radically different fields," he added. << Looks like we have a LONG way to go - better pack a lunch!!! Can this be correct? Zacks 5 year industry growth rate = 21.5%. Dell currently has 9% market share. Given a basis of 100 for the entire industry, a 21.5% growth for 5 years equates to 264.77 basis points. 25% of this is 66.19 (which is where M.D. says Dell might be in 5 years). Given that Dell currently has 9% of the industry market, it starts with 9 basis points and has to get to 66.19 points in 5 years. This equates to 49.0% growth rate PER YEAR FOR 5 YEARS!!!! Even if Dell only gets to 20% market share in 5 years that equates to 42.5% growth PER YEAR FOR 5 YEARS!! Is there something wrong with my math, or is the train just pulling out of the station?? GO DELL

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