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Strategies & Market Trends : Asia Forum

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To: Lee who wrote (7446)11/9/1998 7:27:00 PM
From: Stitch  Read Replies (1) of 9980
 
Lee,

<<What are your thoughts on this recent run-up? >>

Many of you know that I follow the Disk Drive sector closely. If there is a correlation then I would be cautiously optimistic near term. I think recent events and policies have bought time but I do not see long term solutions to two big blaring problems: Overcapacity and fundamentally BK'd banks. Those problems will sit there until we have no choice but to pay the piper. How long? I have a suspicion that Y2K is going to serve as the caller at the square dance. Industries and individuals will race around creating a technology feast for a good part of 1999. It is entirely possible that semi conductor and associated spending will continue to grow right through this holiday season. But it may be a "head fake" albeit a big pregnant one. These thoughts are born of wildly free thinking with no regard for charts, IMF, or Paul Krugman.

Best,
Stitch
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