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Technology Stocks : VALENCE TECHNOLOGY (VLNC)

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To: Greg Smith who wrote (4896)11/11/1998 11:59:00 PM
From: I. N. Vester  Read Replies (3) of 27311
 
Greg Smith PLEASE, don't expect everyone on this
board to pamper you by answering you on every
tiny detail. The numbers make sense for 1800
batteries - your own calculations indicated
that this is consistent with the $/wH, etc
and add up to a burn rate of $4M/quarter or
so. Lev may have actually said 'cells' I
don't know. If he did he clearly mispoke.

We've done the calculations and are very
comfortable with the CEO's statement that
they can break even (on a $ basis) by
running 1 line for 1 shift/day. That's
why lots of money is coming into the stock.

There are some inconsistencies in what the
Korean press reported and what you heard
from Lev. There were reports earlier
from the korean press that hanil/valence
would start producing this summer. Never
take anything too seriously from the korean
trade press. Literal accuracy does not
seem to be a requirement over there.

Lev's lack of concern about Jan 27 does not
imply he's ignorant about important facts.
He's not paying attention to that date, not
because he's dumb, but because he knows it
does not matter. I.e. he's weeks away from
signing a contract but he could not tell you
that on the call, as he carefully explained.

Look at the chart - a lot of millions have been
going into this stock. The smart money is
comming in not going out. Go ahead and
obsess all you want before deciding, but please
try not to take up so much band width insisting
that everybody help you get unconfused. You gotta
help yourself a bit too.

good luck!
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