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Strategies & Market Trends : Roger's 1998 Short Picks

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To: Roger A. Babb who wrote (15434)11/14/1998 7:05:00 PM
From: larry  Read Replies (1) of 18691
 
Roger,

Can you give me a short explantion on this? This is some Q about DELL's recent quarter results.

"Days sales outstanding rose by 3 days. This suggests DELL added 150 million to revenues in the last days and weeks through aggressive sales tactics.

Operating expenses dropped. This suggest DELL froze spending as sales came in lower.

Taken together, these two items probably added two or three cents to earnings.

It looks as though Dell did everything they could just to get to an acceptable level of earnings.

The scary part is that you can't stretch forever."

And more......

"Two quarter's Dell's DSO's were 35 days, one quarter ago they jumped to 37 days and this quarter they jumped to 40 days.

A bump in DSO's is not definitively a sign of problems but it often is and Wall Street knows this. So in May the Dell CFO said on the conference call that he was not happy with the rise in DSO's and would bring them down. Well, they didn't go down, they went up and that is worrisome.

If a company does a disporoportionate amount of their sales at the end of a quarter, their DSO's go up. They also go up if the company is offering aggressive terms. Either one of these scenarios is negative. There have been many cases of first rising DSO's then a missed quarter."

What's your take on this comment?

thanks,
larry!
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