JT, Christmas Rallies and Other Fairy Tales
Looking at the total gain of the S&P since the beginning of 1987,
December ranks third in best overall contribution as follows:
January 36.4%
May 31.0%
December 28.9%
However, I believe Christmas Rallies are a fiction. The worst trading
month has been August, followed by October. So, after going through
those brutal months, the quiet of December probably seems like a
rally. In fact, December has been a good month, having a loss in only
one year and returning a very pleasant 0-5% in 8 of the 11 years.
I rank order the months in how they did during the year with 1 being
the best and 12 the worst. For the last three years, I computed that
December tied with August as the worst performing month (not as a
percentage but just the worst. It has just been a nice quiet month.
Something tells me this year might be different.
Congrats on your super trades! You earned every dollar! If you get
a chance, I'd like to hear what the percentage gain on your CPQ calls
turned out to be.
Berney
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