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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials
AMAT 235.13+2.2%Nov 10 3:59 PM EST

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To: Katherine Derbyshire who wrote (26540)11/20/1998 11:24:00 AM
From: Jeffrey D  Read Replies (1) of 70976
 
Katherine, the following is a BTB analysis from Credit Suisse this morning. Note that back end BTB remained weak and test and assembly dipped 5%. Could you please provide an example of a company or companies that do business in these two areas? thanks, Jeff

Semiconductor Capital Equipment Kathryn Buergert kath

October Book/Bill Benefits From Tech Buys At Front-end Leader

· October's book/bill was 0.73, up sharply from 0.56 in
September -- in line with our expectations following Applied
Materials' strong fiscal Q4 orders. Front-end bookings rose 48%
sequentially.· Test & assembly orders dipped 5%, and the back-end book/bill
remained weak at 0.60. With little slack in test capacity, any
acceleration in IC unit volume may increase orders sharply.
· Spending gridlock may continue until chipmakers are confident
that firming IC prices are more than a seasonal trend. Excepting
special cases (Intel ramping 0.18 production, Micron upgrading TI
facilities), utilization rates may have to top normal 80% to induce
orders this cycle.
Further order upside may stem from positive 1999 IC forecasts,
following solid PC sell-through in the December quarter
Applied Materials (AMAT): $38 Micron (MU): $43 BUY
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