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Politics : Ask Michael Burke

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To: Ilaine who wrote (37071)11/20/1998 4:54:00 PM
From: Mary Cluney  Read Replies (2) of 132070
 
CB,>>> "facts are stupid things."<g><<<

You should tell that to Tom Kurlak who wrote that report.

Using his unit estimates, he has MPU Revenue at $19,474M.

But if you do the arithmetic on Xeons:


1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q Total
Xeon 1.0 1.2 1.8 2.3 6.2



Xeons sell for $1500-$3000 each. Using $2000 ASP on Xeons that comes
to $12,400M.


If you do the arithmetic $19,474
12,400
=======
Leaving $ 7,074


Leaving 49.7M PII's, 46.9 Celeron, and 4.6 Pro (according to Kurlak's) model. No matter what (realistic) pricing model you want - the numbers will not add up.

Putting it another way, suggest any friendly (or otherwise) wager you care to come up with, and I will bet that Kurlak's 1999 numbers will be beaten (and beaten by a wide margin).

Regards,

Mary

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