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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna

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To: Haim R. Branisteanu who wrote (34182)	11/23/1998 2:16:00 PM
From: Chip McVickar	Read Replies (1) of 94695

Haim, Here is the latest from The Skeptical Investor November: chebucto.ns.ca October: chebucto.ns.ca . Moseley is working on a scenario that factors International Currency Deflation as the major stumbling block to stable financial conditions. You maybe looking at exactly the right information. But it may take longer then expected....there is no reason why these markets cannot continue rising well into 1999 with only modest pull backs on earnings...? It's all in the money flow. So far the current "floating rate system" anchored by the dollar appears consistantly fixable and sustainable. That basic perception will have to be altered before what you are looking for occurs. The inchoate stability that the markets are perceiving has been managed very well by Greenspan and his international partners. They have been doing so for years....atleast since Greenspan took office. Indonesia appeared in control....but that was not true. Japan appears in control of their problem...but that is not true. Worlds debt loads appear managable...but that is not true. The question remains....the bubble has been contained with some excellant moves, but....How can the Leverage Debt within Bond structures, world currencies and other debt vehicles be unwound without ending in a collapse of currency values..? Greenspan is buying time. Thanks for your work and posts. Chip

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