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Strategies & Market Trends : Bill Wexler's Profits of DOOM

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To: Bill Wexler who wrote (3766)11/24/1998 6:54:00 PM
From: Bill Wexler  Read Replies (1) of 4634
 
AMAT is up *again*!! It must be my dumb luck!

I have to start paying more attention to those fine analysts that say "AMAT is getting ahead of its fundamentals," or "Intel is hiding problems," or "Avoid CompUSA" and I have to stop believing Intel management when they say that inventories are way down and new demand is voracious. I then make stupid assumptions like the following:

1) Demand for semi equipment is going to accelerate through 1999 and 2000.
2) Eventually, lots of nifty goodies will get blown out through the retail channel, along with a whole new generation of software.

That retail channel I'm talking about is CompUSA and their competitors - such as uh.... ah.... errr.....

Oh, I almost forgot! That's right-- EGGHEAD.COM is a "competitor" to CompUSA....that's why smart investors are throwing away CPU stock at .20 PSR and snapping up EGGS at a 3 PSR. After all, Egghead is now in the super-profitable internet ham auction business:

biz.yahoo.com

Gosh, I just know I'm going to the poorhouse by saying this but I'm going to throw caution to the wind and recommend:

1) Strong buy AMAT
2) Strong buy CPU
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