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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna
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To: Vitas who wrote (34413)11/25/1998 2:56:00 AM
From: Bull RidaH  Read Replies (2) of 94695
 
Vitas,

What sticks out to me like a sore thumb on the 2 links you provided is the fact that the markets have rallied nearly 30%, and the % above 200DMA is only at 37%. This seems to me to be a very bearish divergence in this indicator, as we are right back to the all time highs. A move lower would lock it in, a provide an extremely powerful signal.

Otherwise, the 4 year cycle you mention is obvious from the charts, but it a very small sample period is represented.

Regards,

David
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