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Strategies & Market Trends : Fidelity Select Sector funds
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To: Vol who wrote (1281)11/27/1998 5:32:00 PM
From: Jim Battaglia  Read Replies (1) of 4916
 
I do not like to talk about track records. Because you can
make them appear different ways. I can show you models that
have been active at various stages with Annualized returns
and you can determine whether it meets with your risk levels.

The models and ranking systems are on my members edition page.
All started with 10,000 dollars:

1) System Name BATTAGLI TIMER2 WINNER
2) Start Date 12/30/97 12/30/97 12/30/97
3) Stop Date 11/20/98 11/20/98 11/20/98
4) Tot Trades 9 5 5
5) Num Wins 7(77.8%) 3(60.0%) 4(80.0%)
6) Tr/Pos/Yr 10.1 5.6 5.6
7) Max DD 26.3% 16.2% 19.1%
8) MxDD Date 08/31/98 10/07/98 08/31/98
9) Cur DD 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
10) Ulcer Ind 8.3% 6.6% 4.8%
11) Max Value 15341 12776 16919
12) MxVal Date 11/20/98 11/20/98 11/20/98
13) Tot Value 15341 12776 16919
14) Ann Gain 61.7% 31.7% 80.5%
15) Holding FSELX(28) FSELX(28) FSELX(18)
<><><><><><><><>SELECT FUNDS<><><><><><><><><><><>
1) System Name A-SEL A-SEL3 BELL
2) Start Date 12/30/97 12/30/88 12/30/88
3) Stop Date 11/20/98 11/20/98 11/20/98
4) Tot Trades 9 187 44
5) Num Wins 5(55.6%) 116(62.0%) 27(61.4%)
6) Tr/Pos/Yr 10.1 6.3 4.4
7) Max DD 11.7% 29.7% 16.7%
8) MxDD Date 10/01/98 10/11/90 10/01/98
9) Cur DD 9.9% 4.5% 8.9%
10) Ulcer Ind 7.0% 6.5% 4.6%
11) Max Value 11906 51574 142777
12) MxVal Date 04/14/98 07/17/98 07/20/98
13) Tot Value 10722 49264 130069
14) Ann Gain 8.1% 17.5% 29.6%
15) Holding FSRPX(3) FBIOX(58) FSCPX(28)
16) Holding FSDPX(32)17) Holding FSHOX(18)
<><><><><><><><>CONSERVATIVE<><><><><><><><><><>
1) System Name BAAF FIDLO LORSK15
2) Start Date 12/30/97 12/30/97 12/30/97
3) Stop Date 11/20/98 11/20/98 11/20/98
4) Tot Trades 3 9 3
5) Num Wins 1(33.3%) 6(66.7%) 3(100.0%)
6) Tr/Pos/Yr 3.4 10.1 3.4
7) Max DD 9.2% 11.5% 9.0%
8) MxDD Date 10/08/98 10/09/98 08/04/98
9) Cur DD 4.8% 0.0% 0.0%
10) Ulcer Ind 3.9% 5.2% 4.3%
11) Max Value 11139 11393 12214
12) MxVal Date 07/17/98 11/20/98 11/20/98
13) Tot Value 10606 11393 12214
14) Ann Gain 6.8% 15.8% 25.2%
15) Holding HWBAX(49) FFTYX(4) FDGFX(28)
<><><><><><><><><>INVESCO<><><><><><><><><><><><>
1) System Name INVESCO INVESCO3 INVESCO5
2) Start Date 12/30/97 12/30/88 12/30/88
3) Stop Date 11/20/98 11/20/98 11/20/98
4) Tot Trades 5 252 413
5) Num Wins 1(20.0%) 152(60.3%) 247(59.8%)
6) Tr/Pos/Yr 5.6 8.5 8.3
7) Max DD 12.3% 13.5% 11.0%
8) MxDD Date 08/04/98 02/26/90 10/27/97
9) Cur DD 6.6% 0.0% 0.0%
10) Ulcer Ind 7.7% 3.8% 3.3%
11) Max Value 12340 56704 50694
12) MxVal Date 04/02/98 11/20/98 11/20/98
13) Tot Value 11527 56704 50694
14) Ann Gain 17.3% 19.2% 17.8%
15) Holding ISWCX(17) FIEGX(7) ISWCX(4)
16) Holding IVAGX(38) FIEGX(8)
17) Holding FLRFX(31) NT=IVSLX
18) Holding IVAGX(49)
19) Holding FLRFX(32)
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