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Pastimes : The Justa & Lars Honors Bob Brinker Investment Club
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To: MrGreenJeans who wrote (2296)11/28/1998 5:45:00 PM
From: Investor2  Read Replies (1) of 15132
 
Another, more positive way to look at things:

For just the 15th time since 1947, the discount yield on the 3-month
T-Bill had declined more than 18% from its peak. In the past, the
average increase in the S&P 500 Common Stock Index in the year after
a T-Bill rate decline exceeded 18% was 25.4%. Small cap stock
results were even more impressive, as tabulated below.

12-Month Stock Price Changes Following T-Bill Rate Decreases
exceeding 18%:

Date Big-Cap Small-Cap
9/53 35.6% 30.5%
1/54 36.2% 47.8%
1/58 32.2% 53.3%
3/60 17.7% 17.2%
3/67 -1.3% 30.7%
7/70 22.0% 36.0%
11/71 24.9% 17.8%
12/74 28.6% 70.1%
1/76 0.6% 24.9%
5/80 6.4% 11.3%
11/81 7.5% 24.7%
8/82 33.3% 85.8%
12/84 27.4% 25.7%
10/90 27.2% 39.0%
9/98 ? ?
Ave. 22.0% 39.9%

Best wishes,

I2
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