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Technology Stocks : Viasoft is an excellent stock, but what about the company?
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To: Capitalist who wrote ()1/14/1997 11:36:00 PM
From: ItsAllCyclical   of 169
 
This stock will eventually crash and burn for the following reasons:

1) History tells us stocks cannot appreciate this much this fast. Netscape was a far better IPO than this stock, but from a percentage standpoint VIAS is stronger, does this make sense?

2) 128 x 97 estimates of .48 cents. Their upcoming quarterly earnings were recently downgraded from .13 to .12 cents. Downgraded!

3) Obviously, very few VIAS investors are programmers. Most estimates of the revenues generated assume massive changes to programs. With one edit check, and reusable calls this problem can be fixed. It's a joke. If the result is negative add 100. This gives you the difference between the current and past or present years. Most programs don't have a need to go beyond 100 years.

4) VIAS does not bring anything unique to the table. Competition can move in fast if, big if, revenues truely materialize.

5) Most software will be updated naturally between now and the year 2000. From a programming standpoint there are alot of workarounds for this problem.

6) Most estimates come from the companies themselves with the most to gain.

This stock/sector will correct in the next 6 months, just wait till the next 100 to 200 single day point drop, which these days is very common. If you bought above 30 be prepared for that heart-sinking feeling of loosing your shirt.
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