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Technology Stocks : Creative Computers(MALL)
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To: Secret_Agent_Man who wrote (870)11/29/1998 8:56:00 PM
From: Tom Hua  Read Replies (1) of 1634
 
NM, UBID at 14-16 is a bargain in this market. We'll see how much
higher it will go for, and how much lower from the open after 3 days.
Just as interesting is how will MALL fare with UBID's closing price on
IPO day.

Because of the extreme volatility in UBID, MALL will most likely trade
at a discount from the formula: M = 0.72*U + 12. The discount rate
will be higher for higher UBID prices. But for simplicity, we can
assume a constant 10%, or 20% discount. The percentage change from
Friday's close is also tabulated.

No discount 10% discount 20% discount
UBID MALL %change MALL % change MALL %change
--------------------------------------------------------------------

30 34 -40% 30 -46% 27 -52%

40 41 -28% 37 -35% 33 -42%

50 48 -15% 43 -23% 38 -32%

60 55 -2% 50 -12% 44 -22%

70 62 11% 56 0% 50 -11%

80 70 23% 63 11% 56 -1%

It's time to place your bets.

Regards,

Tom

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