How high will Microsoft fly? Message Board

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Technology Stocks : How high will Microsoft fly?

MSFT 486.98

-1.4%

3:59 PM EST

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To: t2 who wrote (12775)	11/29/1998 9:20:00 PM
From: ed	Read Replies (1) of 74651

Msft's previous quarter to quarter earning growth is about 10% in average, and from MSFT's last advise to up beat the earning of this current quarter , and assume a 11% growth in earning in the last quarter of 1998, then the earning announcement for the comming Jan will be 0.563 * 1.11 = $0.62493. So looking forward for six more month, the moving average of four quarter earning , i.e from Jaune 1998 to June 1999 should be 0.62493 * 4 = $2.5, with 60 PE, the stock price in Jan of 1999 should be around $150. Of course , if the earning is much better than expected, we may see a PE back to 70 before April of 1999 !!!!

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