Satellites to Emerge as the Dominant Broadband Access Provider over RIVAL ADSL, cable Modem and LMDS technologies, According to Pioneer Consulting
CAMBRIDGE, Mass., Dec. 1 /PRNewswire/ -- The global broadband access market is on the verge of a major expansion according to Pioneer Consulting's latest report, Global Broadband Access Markets: xDSL, Cable Modems and the Threat from Broadband Satellite, Wireless and All-Optical Solutions. In total, Pioneer's forecasts reveal an important emerging market to be addressed by a variety of technologies, each occupying its own niche. No one technology is a clear leader, though broadband satellites fared quite well versus the competing technologies because of its unique ability to address the goals of the Internet and a global information infrastructure, which is driving this market. These goals include global availability, uniform technology, and a tiered pricing structure for various classes of service.
''Our forecasts indicate each technology will face significant competition from broadband satellites after 2002, when global LEO constellations are in orbit and current DTH providers have launched their own Ka-Band satellites for a mix of narrowcast digital video services and broadband access services,'' said Scott Clavenna, Senior Analyst at Pioneer. ''Cable modems will lead the market in terms of total subscribers throughout the forecast period, but satellites are predicted to gain a larger revenue stream because of their ability to address residential and business customers equally well.''
Global Broadband Access Subscriber Summary, 1998-2007 (Millions)
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
LMDS 0.00 0.07 0.26 0.85 1.54 2.56 4.00 5.95 8.34 11.16
Satellite 0.03 0.07 0.20 0.65 1.90 4.58 10.49 18.48 27.64 39.62
Cable Modem 0.57 1.52 4.24 8.54 13.72 19.99 26.86 34.33 41.00 46.78
xDSL 0.20 0.69 2.20 5.32 9.93 15.57 21.45 27.20 33.00 38.49
Total 0.80 2.35 6.90 15.36 27.09 42.7 62.8 85.96 109.98 136.05
Because they provide service on a global or continental basis, satellites are well-positioned to address the access market with unique advantages. Satellites have the ability to create uniformity tomorrow where heterogeneity rules today. The success of DTH satellite services has paved the way for broadband satellites. Broadband satellite constellations will effectively create space-borne Internets that will improve on the current terrestrial Internet and provide a global broadband backbone and access infrastructure.
This report is presently available at a cost of $4,000. For a table of contents, executive summary or other additional information, please contact Pioneer Consulting at 617-441-3900 (tel), 617-441-3061 (fax) or email: info@pioneerconsulting.com. Additional information can also be found at pioneerconsulting.com
Pioneer Consulting
Pioneer Consulting is a consultancy based in Cambridge, Massachusetts, specializing in global high-speed telecommunications network market research. Recent projects have included research and analysis on submarine fiber optic systems, broadband satellites, fiber optic and DWDM markets, high-speed Internet access methods, and topics in broadband wireless. For additional information visit Pioneer's World Wide Web site at pioneerconsulting.com.
SOURCE: Pioneer Consulting
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