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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis

SPY 677.58

+0.3%

Nov 5 4:00 PM EST

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To: William H Huebl who wrote (75)	12/3/1998 6:44:00 AM
From: Moominoid	Read Replies (1) of 99985

My MDA Think I'll go to sleep early out here in Aus <g> iqc.com We are beginning to break out of the lower trend line. Any sharp move would take us below 13 dma. This often seems to be the end of a trend. In fact the whole move from Oct 8 looks like a giant version of the July rally. Stochastics look like sell to me. Other individual stocks I follow look bearish. Upper 34 day Bollinger Band is beginning to curl over as at previous tops. This top is just below the 34 week Bollinger Band as in July. My own method (time series stuff) shows tops put in in many of these stocks plus possibly in the index. Globex -10.1 VIX rising last three days. My US portfolio is only short. Long in Aus etc. plus puts on Aussie index plus cash. BWDIK

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