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Technology Stocks : Xilinx (XLNX)

XLNX 194.92

0.0%

Feb 14 4:00 PM EST

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To: L.B.Nguyen who wrote (2093)	12/3/1998 4:45:00 PM
From: uu	Read Replies (1) of 3291

The problem is despite the fact that semis have risen quite a bit from their lows earlier (and which everyone keeps mentioning and advocating as an excellent reason to short the semis), they are still very much below what they were 2 years ago. IMHO, the downtrend cycle is about to end and the next upturn cycle will be much bigger than what we had in 94-96 because of the new internet computing model. Stock prices usually do not reflect the present conditions but rather what would be 6-8 months down the road. Shorting semis at this time is similar, IMHO of course, to trying to stand in front of a train trying to see if the train will stop if it sees you standing there. Anyway, regretfully I sold my XLNX shares too early but I will be more than lucky if I can buy my shares back under $40 (which I highly doubt would happen unless there is a split). Regards, Addi Jamshidi

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