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Hi Gary:
Actually, I would like to hear the views of regular posters on this thread regarding which CLECs besides WCII look attractive to them. I think we all have a good handle on TGNT and ARTT, but I have a much harder time separating the wheat from the chaff when studying other CLECS such as ICIX, ICGX, RCNC, NXLK, MCLD, ESPI, HYPT, ELIX, GSTX. In particular, I note that GSTX has been very active in the area where I live. They won a contract for the Travis Air force Base, and won an Internet2 contract for NTON, an advanced fiber optic network linking Lawrence Livermore Nat Lab and several academic institutions on the West Coast. Yet, its stock seems to be treated like it suffers from radioactive contamination. It has a convert too, and Morgan Stanley seems to be playing the same games with it as it did with WCII.
I am wondering if anybody here (Mark Lewin, Hal Barnett...) has strong views regarding which CLECs look interesting and why? CLECs appear to be valued like their bonds. So, if Alan Greenspan achieves another soft landing (the first was in 94), junk bond spreads will narrow a lot, and CLEC stocks will recover. We need only to find the CLECS which are well financed, well managed, and are closer to turning EBITDA positive. I think most of us can figure out the financing stuff, but the management part is harder to assess.
Best regards,
Bernard Levy |