Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) Message Board

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Technology Stocks : Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)

AMZN 250.04

-1.6%

1:57 PM EST

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To: llamaphlegm who wrote (29008)	12/5/1998 12:21:00 PM
From: jach	of 164684

<"the web gets ugly: the ".com" is for competition not community" ...> As for mo and here at the SI, ".COM stands for Crazy Overhyped Market-valuation" When x'mas is over the joy ride will be over too. During this month and up till the after x'mas qtr earnings release, these hyper activity will somehow linger and sort of pick-up sputtering steam here and there. But, after the earnings release, the reality will sink in that the Web-Commerce for consumers's market is just another boring, low-profit, high-inventory retail shopping that is in fact not different from Safeway, Walmart or Office Depot stores. The PE for this type of market segment is around 10 to 20. With potential a few pennys (will be very generous here giving 17 cents earnings) in 2001, AMZN valuation for an outrageous PE of 20 will be 0.17x20 = $3.40. Remember this price is for 2001 x'mas season, and not now in 1998. That's why AMZN is 10$ stock (very generous here too, x'mas spirit in-check), if it is lucky enough to still survive 2 years later. All imho.

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