Hi Carolyn, I have a Conservative Model from the mastermind himself Brian Stocks of FastTools. It is up nicely this year:
1) System Name LORSK15 2) Start Date 12/30/97 3) Stop Date 12/04/98 4) Tot Trades 3 5) Num Wins 3(100.0%) 6) Tr/Pos/Yr 3.2 7) Max DD 9.0% 8) MxDD Date 08/04/98 9) Cur DD 1.8% 10) Ulcer Ind 4.2% 11) Max Value 12422 12) MxVal Date 11/23/98 13) Tot Value 12201 14) Ann Gain 23.9% 15) Holding FDGFX(42)
It is currently holding Dividend Growth the past 42 days. The model has had three sells this year. 100% winning trades.
It is comprised of the following funds: FDGFX,FGRIX,FEQTX, FGRXX,FIUIX,FRESX,FCVSX,SLTGX,FSIBX,FASMX,FASGX,FASIX,FMSFX AND FBALX.
FastRuber's will identify with this model. It switches automatically with FastTrack accutrack 11/44.
To answer your question on moving average to use... a 50 day moving average has always been a good point of reference to use. If a fund can not maintain its 50 day average, then it should not be held. Go back and run a 50 day on your fund and see if that is something you can live with.
Jim |