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Technology Stocks : INTEL TRADER

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To: smolejv@gmx.net who wrote (4779)12/9/1998 2:22:00 AM
From: Chris  Read Replies (2) of 11051
 
DJ, RE: LEAPS

I don't know how long you (and the other dudes) have been playing
with LEAPS, but for me this is my first year. My first impression is
that like a good red wine they can age well (only in an up market
:). This also fits my personality. I tend to like to buy and hold
more than jump in and out. My market timing is off. :) Maybe I'm
just having beginners luck, but here are my LEAP trades for the year:

Stock LEAP Price Sell price Buy Date Sell Date % Return

INTC 1/00 80 call 23 ½ 39 ½ 02/10/98 11/20/98 68%
MSFT 1/99 70 call 15 5/8 42 02/20/98 11/20/98 168%
CSCO* 1/00 40 call 18 ½ NA 03/12/98 Still Hold'in 141%
LU 1/00 65 call 14 32 03/31/98 12/03/98 128%
CPQ* 1/00 20 call 10 ½ NA 04/03/98 still Hold'in 126%
SEG* 1/00 20 call 10 7/8 NA 04/03/98 still Hold'in 35%
LU 1/00 80 call 12 3/8 22 ½ 04/08/98 12/03/98 82%
LU 1/00 80 call 12 3/8 25 04/08/98 12/04/98 102%
PFE* 1/00 120 call 24 NA 04/30/98 still Hold'in -38%

* Option closing bid price used for YTD return
CSCO bid 44 ¾
CPQ bid 23 5/8
SEG bid 14 3/4
PFE bid 17 7/8

Both SEG and CPQ were converted from owning stock to buying LEAPS.

Here is a little study: I had CPQ & SEG stock and converted them to
LEAPs on 4/3/98.

Stock # shares Stock price Current price %change Profit
CPQ 300 25 7/8 41 7/16 60% (15.5625/s) 4668.75
SEG 200 26 ¼ 32 7/8 25% (6.625/s) 1325

LEAP #contracts Buy Sell % change Profit
CPQ 1/00 20 call 5 10 ½ 23 5/8 126% 6562.5
SEG 1/00 20 call 3 10 7/8 14 ¾ 35% 1162.5

Result Gain/Loss vs stock
CPQ 1893.75 +40%
SEG (162.50) -12%

The volatility on SEG has been way down in the last few months. I
paid over $4.00/s premium then and now there is under 2.00/s. I CPQ
premium has decreased but was covered buy the stock price increase.
In both LEAP cases there was less initial capital used than with the
original stock purchase. Now I think that if CPQ had not moved up so
much in the last couple of weeks I would be sitting on a loss
relative to a stock purchase.

I don't know about anybody else but with LEAPS I'm paranoid of
running out of time with the stock in a down cycle. I decided to
start rotating out of 1/00 LEAPS at the beginning of the month, but
without having the 1/01 LEAPS purchased. Now MSFT, INTC, LU have
made powerful moves without me :( In the future, I will not do this
unless I want to completely close my position with that stock. I
guess this is part of the learning process.

Christopher
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