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Gold/Mining/Energy : Global Santa Fe (GSF) (formerly Global Marine)

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To: j_fir2 who wrote (1038)12/9/1998 12:55:00 PM
From: Ram Seetharaman  Read Replies (1) of 2282
 
I agree that GLM is worth more! But in a market where oil prices may go to single digits next year, buyers won't pay premium for GLM. GLM won't have any problem surviving though, since they have consistently produced good profits for the past couple of years. It is just the timing in 1998/1999. Energy prices have eroded for over a dozen years now. That is why some economists in U.S are even talking of deflation in the U.S (deflation is a reality in the commodity markets as of today!). Couple of years ago I bought GLM at $8 and got out at $ 14 only to see it reach as high as $ 30. Now it is back to single digits and is a great buy - even an aggressive and strong buy for those willing to wait several months. But in an immediate buyout I don't see anyone paying $ 30 for GLM. That will rock the market for sure! Exxon/Mobil deal didn't rock the market at all - merger of two fat cats - investors showed only a tepid response.
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