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Non-Tech : Derivatives: Darth Vader's Revenge

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To: Mark Adams who wrote (686)12/12/1998 10:11:00 PM
From: Frodo Baxter  Read Replies (1) of 2794
 
>We know that adding liquidity may not result in added consumption.

We do? Real fed funds costs ~3.3%. The recent average is about 2%. The Fed has 475 basis points remaining to play with. They can drop the real fed funds rate to -1.5%, or more if you account for the inflationary effects. Do you have any idea the kind of consumption you can unleash with that? I doubt it.

Of course, there's always someone who will bring up a specious comparison with Japan. The difference, of course, is that Japan's banking system is bankrupt and money pumping must by necessity first recapitalize the banks.

>The government must take that liquidity and apply it to productive projects of some fashion- ie the International Space station, environmental remediation, research education etc. I say this though I dislike debt and deficit spending.

Spoken like a true Keynesian. How about a tax cut instead?

>They need to create enough work/demand to soak up the capacity, as many of us are busy enjoying our leisure and not thinking too much about how to apply our newfound wealth. At least not beyond throwing money at stocks and business managers who aren't sure how to deploy it.

So the problem is that we're too rich, is it? This is an, umm, interesting notion. As for soaking up capacity, well. Hmm. Have you checked what the unemployment rate is? 4.4%... what was NAIRU supposed to be again?
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