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Technology Stocks : Discuss Year 2000 Issues
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To: J.L. Turner who wrote (2942)12/14/1998 1:11:00 PM
From: RagTimeBand  Read Replies (1) of 9818
 
J.L.

>>I thought it interesting that Georgia spent 152 million to repair 77% Now have asked for 220 million for the remaining [23%]1999 budget. In your opinion does this indicate simply increased costs or perhaps they are not really 77% done?I wonder about the per cent completed because the article says the money was appropriated just this last winter,so in about 3/4 of a year Georgia is indicating they have done 77% of the work for remediation.<<

If I may, I'll stick my nose in to give my 2Cents worth.

From the software perspective estimating how long it's going to take to program something or to make modifications to an existing program isn't a trivial undertaking. Quite often a programmer is chunking along thinking that they understand what they need to do to fix a problem when suddenly they run into something that they hadn't accounted for.

From the hardware perspective it's apparently common for an organization to not know exactly what "assets" they have. Saying that another way they don't have a current, up todate inventory of their hardware and software.

With that said, the question has to be asked: "Who was it that gave the % completion data which was folded into the 77% estimate?" I'd be willing to bet there were managers involved who were thinking more about "looking good" rather than giving a factual estimate. Additionally there are managers of software departments who will commit their department to completing a project when there is no chance of the commitment being fullfilled. So what if the programmers burn out.

Finally, 77% sounds kinda like statistics and you know what they say about statistics.... "there's lies; there's damned lies and then there's statistics".

Regards - Emory
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