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Technology Stocks : The New QLogic (ANCR)
QLGC 16.070.0%Aug 24 5:00 PM EST

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To: J Fieb who wrote (19795)12/15/1998 2:06:00 PM
From: Technocrat  Read Replies (3) of 29386
 
Ancor and SGI partnering is not a big secret in my
opinion. The testbed seems to have been running for
quite some time. What this announcement does is solidify
the technical specifications of the Ancor switch.
The NDA bull was so thick and heavy that rumors
were allowed to float around that Ancor had laid
an egg. I'm telling you---they had me worried on
this one.

The NCSA, U of Minnesota, and LANL triangle is
not a coincidence since the exact same technical
folks are on these projects. SGI is very closely
connected to these folks as well. Ancor will not
score bodacious bread for this set of applications
but got a Good Housekeeping Seal of Approval.
The engineers in the groups we are talking about
are some of the most demanding in the industry.
Years ago, there was a meeting where they told
Sun co-founder Bill Joy to his face that the company's
hardware was "junk" not worth considering seriously :-)

I have owned SGI stock for a long time (to the
harm of my pocketbook) so I watch the company
closely. Nobody gripes too much about the performance
or engineering quality of SGI hardware but sales remained
flat for about nine quarters. Stockholders canned the
CEO and hired the #2 out of HP. CEO has not stopped
talking about NT from the day he entered the door.

The movie making video business is always been
in the SGI domain. But sales in that industry
slumped the last two years. The money is roughly
like university sales. I would not count on
big bucks here. PR is all it gets you. Digital
TV is a looooooong ways off.

SGI is taking a huge gamble, but given the state
of affairs, no one can fault them. They are entering
in the high-end PC, NT marketplace with their Visual PC.
It is late by a quarter. Expect a big rollout
in Q1 of 1999 which is reflected in the Salomon
slides dated in September. If SGI can score a
hit like the iMac then we could see some significant
sales. If not, then SGI is doomed to pull a DEC
maneuver. SAN will generate sales in the server
side of SGI. The fanfare of the Visual PC could
make a difference in exposure to the computer
center directors who wear IBM buttons on their
suits as accessories :-)

In summary, SGI's future is what is in doubt
by Wall Street, not Ancor's in particular. There have
been consistent rumors that HP would take them out
for a few billion.
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