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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis
SPY 659.00+1.0%Nov 21 4:00 PM EST

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To: TRINDY who wrote (2140)12/16/1998 9:41:00 PM
From: Smooth Drive  Read Replies (1) of 99985
 
Hello All,

DAILY LOOK BACK

The DOW INDUSTRIALS closed down at 8790.6 for a total daily drop of 32.7 points (.37%) and still down 218.59 points (2.43%) from a week ago. I noted yesterday that the Dow had an 85% chance of going higher today and it made it by 27.55 points. TRANSPORTS closed down at 2869.82 or 13.5 points (.47%) and 193.98 points (6.33%) lower than a week-ago. The UTILITIES closed up at 306.57 or 2.09 points (.69%) and are only down .18 points from last week. The S&P 500 very slightly up at .86 points but is still 21.52 points (1.82%) lower than last week. As predicted with the 85% rule – the S&P 500 had a higher high today of 3.46 points. The NAZ was down 3.24 points (.16%) at 2009.36 and 41.06 points (2.0%) from one week-ago. It also achieved the predicted higher high by 30.35 points.

BIRINYI OVERBOUGHT/OVERSOLD INDICATOR

52.00 52.00
WEEK WEEK OVER OVER
INDEX LOW HIGH CLOSE BOTTOM 50DMA TOP SOLD BOUGHT

DJIA 7379.70 9457.95 8790.60 7310.65 8714.74 9824.12 0.00% 6.84%
DJTA 2260.24 3735.38 2869.82 2259.86 2863.03 3242.55 0.00% 1.79%
DJUA 259.51 323.65 306.57 285.59 306.69 346.17 0.55% 0.00%
S&P 912.83 1193.53 1161.97 936.32 1111.83 1240.65 0.00% 38.92%
NAZ 1343.87 2060.98 2009.36 1431.37 1820.03 2119.08 0.00% 63.31%

No change in any of the P&F charts at Message 6853102.

With permission from INVESTORS INTELLIGENCE/CHARTCRAFT, here's a dab of info:

Sentiment Index 12/18/98 12/11/98
% of Advisors Bullish 56.8 57.4
% of Advisors Bearish 31.4 31.3
% of Advisors Correction 11.8 11.3
Bulls 10 Week MA 59.5 57.8

Still a great many bullish newsletters.

Of special note is the fact that the New York Stock Exchange Bullish Percent Index reversed down to Bull Correction at 51.5. Bull Correction status was discussed at Message 6859876. For us the defense is on the field.

Take care,

Eric
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