Chip gear index rises but order rate still weak semibiznews.com
A service of Semiconductor Business News, CMP Media Inc. Story posted 8:30 a.m. EST/5:30 a.m., 12/18/98
By Will Wade
MOUNTAIN VIEW, Calif.--Orders for advanced IC production systems are helping to prop up the troubled semiconductor equipment industry but current business levels are nearly half as much as they were in 1997, according to the Semiconductor Equipment and Materials International (SEMI) trade group here.
SEMI's latest book-to-bill ratio for North American semiconductor equipment suppliers reflects steady improvement in sales during November, but revenues were running about 41% lower than they were in the same month last year.
For November, SEMI's book-to-bill index rose to 0.84 from a revised 0.75 figure for October. A ratio of 0.84 indicates that $84 in new orders are being received for $100 worth of products shipped. The SEMI index has not been at parity since November 1997 when it stood at 1.0.
"Technology buys are certainly going ahead as planned in the semiconductor industry," said Stanley Myers, president of SEMI. "However, keep in mind that current business levels for the equipment industry are running about half of 1997. Technology purchases alone will not return the equipment and materials industry to its former profitability. We certainly hope to get to the point where significant new capacity is needed before the year 2000."
Using a three-month moving average, SEMI figures that North American semiconductor equipment suppliers shipped only $962.9 million of systems in November compared to $1.634 billion in the same month last year. The November shipments were up 15% over $834.4 million in October, however.
Orders for semiconductor equipment were 51% lower in November than a year ago. Bookings stood at just $805.0 million last month vs. $1.633 billion in November 1997. Compared to October, however, new equipment orders were up 29% from $623.5 million. The average shipments for November was $963 million, an increase of 15% over the October results, but 41% below the November 1997 figures. Booking for the month $805 million, a jump of 29% from the preceding month, but down 51% from the same period last year. SEMI calculates its figures using three-month average booking and shipment information. |