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Technology Stocks : 3Com Corporation (COMS)
COMS 0.00130-18.8%Nov 7 11:47 AM EST

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To: Tim Luke who wrote (26558)12/23/1998 4:09:00 PM
From: Robert Leverton  Read Replies (3) of 45548
 
Thanks to those skittish 3Com investors who made crossing the street from short to long today that much easier. Now I look forward to walking with the stalwarts, who really understand this stock, as 3Com goes back-up to its appropriate value level at $53 (near term). I look forward to riding with you for the next few days. Hope you don't mind a day trader sharing the long seat with you for the holidays.

Arrived at $53 via
10% surprise on earnings release 36c vice the expected 32-33c (I know the consensus was 31c but, we all knew it would be at least 32-33c).
Add this 10% surprise to the closing price before earnings release $48 1/2 subtract 1/2-1 point for the hype mark-up and you get a rough estimate of 52 1/2-53 1/2.

I know this value method tool will probably be suspect but this is an art not a science. Taken to any extreme it always fails.
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