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Strategies & Market Trends : Gann's cycles
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To: MechanicalMethod who wrote (51)12/24/1998 11:36:00 AM
From: High Grader  Read Replies (1) of 191
 
There is the argument that linear math is not applicable to the markets because they are a non-linear dynamic (chaos) system.

The market sets its own scales and varies them according to its own rules, which we cannot measure very well with the limited use of linear math. Too many degrees of freedom.

Even Fourier analysis and MESA are looking for cycles that may at any moment coincide and amplify, or dampen each other. The problem is in knowing when these things are in sync or opposing each other. Very difficult to do. Also there is the problem of time scale.

It is nearly impossible to approach this stuff on any but a fractal level, where suddenly all the noise and confusion gives way to a larger order that we can measure with Fibonacci math.

Here again it is difficult to do, and more difficult to understand. Without an objective mathematical model (run by a good algorithm) it is just too easy to be subjective and lose any possible value.
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