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Gold/Mining/Energy : Strictly: Drilling and oil-field services

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To: Snowshoe who wrote (33483)12/24/1998 11:52:00 PM
From: John Carpenter  Read Replies (2) of 95453
 
The integrated major oil companies are being ruthless in
cancelling firm contracts and cutting expenses. Asian demand
isn't returning anytime soon. OPEC is effectively dead as
an institution. How we get to $17 oil under these circumstances beats the hell out of me. Much ado is being made about a new year
and the absence of tax loss selling. This sector's fundamentals
will be no better on January 4 than on December 31. Unfortunately, in the near term, it looks like dead money at best, a slow sustained drift downward at worst. Who knows, maybe ten years of baseing?
This sector offers no justice. Maybe you get a good year or two
out of an entire decade. Some say the cycles are shorter now and
the good times are just 'round the corner. Unfortunately, it takes
a real stretch of the imagination to see anything good happening
anytime soon. For those overweighted in this sector, I'm sorry
if your Christmas is spoiled. I've been there, done that and it
sucks. Especially when you think about the internet momentum
boys and the riches they've amassed. Forget about PEs, book value,
value investing. All that matters is if you're in what's going
up on any particular day. And it ain't the value stocks. Forget
what the professors told you.
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