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Technology Stocks : Ballard Power -world leader zero-emission PEM fuel cells
BLDP 2.685-5.8%Nov 20 3:59 PM EST
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To: William Peavey who wrote (3534)12/26/1998 1:18:00 PM
From: wpckr  Read Replies (1) of 5827
 
It seems like the natural chain of events will be something like this:
1. cleaner ICE's on petroleum like natural gas-this is the alternative fuels solution and is interim until the hybrid FC car.
Time frame--fazing in now. Will be a solution for4-8 years.

2. The hybrid, FC with reformer.
Time frame--Starts to appear in 2-3 years. Expect buses and trucks first followed quickly by autos. Strong growth in 5 years, displacing the alternative fueled vehicles over 10 years.

3.Pure hydrogen and water based FC.
Time frame--faze in starts in 6-8 years. Hydrogen infrastructure, safety, training, etc. will take time as well as development.
Just a lot IMHO as to what it might take. Guesswork for sure but it is a pretty sure bet that all of the types mentioned will be on the highways at the same time through some time period.

The schedule will be blind sided by events-- international events, war, design by computer speeds development undeterminable amounts, the world economy, etc.. So don't hold my feet to the fire down the road.

Suffice to say-we enter an exceedingly interesting and exciting era. The 21st century!! WOW!
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