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Technology Stocks : The New QLogic (ANCR)
QLGC 16.070.0%Aug 24 5:00 PM EST

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To: Eleder2020 who wrote (19911)12/26/1998 3:52:00 PM
From: George Dawson  Read Replies (2) of 29386
 
Ed,

I think there is some advantage to shorting in a hurry and using your profit to immediately short more stock. This causes a true death spiral effect in that you are using your profits as leverage against the stock price and it allows you to create both a huge dilution effect as well as associated profit. What appears to have prevented this from happening is that there were literally no available shares to short outside of the conversion and the conversion was scheduled to proceed in an orderly manner. You could actually study this semi-scientifically by comparing Ancor to true death spiral stocks. My guess is you would see the failed stocks as being under more pressure at the outset with a larger float and/or an uncontained conversion process. It would make sense to me that a fund that is long would sell their position, since as professional investors they would know about how the financing deal would affect the stock price before those of us less familiar.

As long as the current float is approaching the theoretical maximum number of shares post conversion - I agree that the timing of the sale is irrelevant. Do we have an official number for total shares in the float? NASDAQ shows a little over 19M.

George D.
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